Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Follow Through Day

IBD has labeled Tuesday, July 29 as a follow through day. Every bull market in recent history started off with a follow through day. However, there have been follow through days that didn't lead to a bull market. Just be careful. IBD advocates using a strategy as such:

1. Look for stocks in sound bases or breaking out of sound bases
2. Put half your capital to work. Ex: if you plan to buy $20,000 worth of stock, start the initial
position with $10,000 then add to it.

Hot Sectors:

1. Railroads
2. Trucking
3. Major Drugs
4. Bio-Technology

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Day One of Attempted Rally

S&P 500
Dow
Nasdaq
Tuesday, July 8 marks day one of this attempted rally. Still waiting for confirmation. If we see a follow through (indice rises on higher volume than yesterday's total) 4 days from now or later then this will act as confirmation. This follow through can occur in any one of the major indices.

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

I'm holding Visa (V) for the long-haul. The stock went up on pretty good volume today. I'm still keeping an eye on the fertilizers (AGU, MOS, POT, CF). They are extremely oversold.
Luckily I had a 5% stop loss on my trades. I got stopped out of POT and MOS very quickly. I should have used a tighter stop, in the 3% range, given the current market conditions. I figured that MOS and POT would hold their support levels but this proved to be wrong. This is a very tricky market. The best thing to do is raise cash.